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Soochow securities: It is expected that the Federal Reserve will cut interest rates by 25bps in December. According to the soochow securities Research Report, the CPI of the United States rebounded to +2.75% in November as scheduled, and the CPI that did not exceed expectations cleared the last obstacle for the Fed to cut interest rates in December. In the short term, the combination of low base and high viscosity means that CPI is expected to continue to rebound to +2.8% in December. In the medium term, Trump is expected to drive out illegal immigrants on the first day after taking office, which will aggravate the risk of stagflation in the labor market. However, the intensification of wage inflation stickiness may be concealed by the downward movement of non-agricultural centers in the same period, the expectation of increasing oil prices and the high base in the first half of 2025. The market's concern about "stagnation" may provide room for the Fed to cut interest rates smoothly in the first half of 2025. However, in the second half of 2025, the cumulative interest rate cuts will give support to the economy, the persistence of inflation stickiness and the landing of Trump's tax reduction policy will force the Fed to cut interest rates. It is expected that the Federal Reserve will cut interest rates by 25bps in December, 25bps in March and June next year, and stop cutting interest rates in the second half of the year. The end point of the policy interest rate in 2025 is [3.75,4.0]%.According to people familiar with the matter, Trump's advisers and officials from his newly formed government efficiency department asked him if he could abolish the Federal Deposit Insurance Corporation (FDIC).Pfizer announced an increase in its quarterly dividend, and American pharmaceutical giant Pfizer said on Thursday that it would increase its quarterly dividend by 2.4%, from 42 cents to 43 cents per share. The new dividend is equivalent to $1.72 per year, which means that the annual yield is about 6.8%. Albert Bourla, CEO of Pfizer, said that the dividend increase highlighted the company's strong financial performance, execution and commitment to return capital to shareholders.

A number of projects have accelerated the implementation of the national water network construction, and the South-to-North Water Transfer Project is a major strategic infrastructure to alleviate the serious shortage of water resources in northern China, and it is the main skeleton and artery of the national water network. On December 12th, the first phase of the East Middle Route of South-to-North Water Transfer Project ushered in the 10th anniversary of full water supply. The project has transferred more than 76.7 billion cubic meters of water, providing stable and high-quality water sources for 45 large and medium-sized cities and 185 million people in 7 provinces and cities along the route, and supporting the GDP growth of more than 16 trillion yuan in the northern region. The reporter was informed that in the next step, China will continue to promote the construction of major national water network projects, and a number of large reservoirs, large irrigation areas and other projects are being accelerated. (Economic Information Daily)After the short-term survey was released, the 10-year Japanese government bond futures rose to 142.51.The yield of 10-year active bonds in China inter-bank bond market initially dropped by more than 3 basis points to 1.775% and then hit a record low. The yield of 30-year active bonds in China inter-bank bond market initially dropped by nearly 4 basis points to 2%, also hitting a record low.

Google released the Android XR operating system, and Samsung's first launch will be launched next year. On December 12, local time, Google launched a new operating system Android XR developed in cooperation with Samsung, which combines years of investment in AI, AR and VR, aiming at wearing devices and smart glasses. Bring a practical experience. This release is a preview for developers, who can start to develop applications and games for the upcoming Android XR device. The first head-mounted display device developed based on Android XR is code-named "Project Moohan", which is made by Samsung and will go on sale next year.Market news: Trump's advisers seek to reduce or cancel banking regulators.Korean media: South Korean President Yin Xiyue tried to appoint a new defense minister. The East Asia Daily did not explain that the source reported that South Korean President Yin Xiyue tried to appoint a new defense minister, which indicated that Yin Xiyue might resume his job, although he said last week that he would let the ruling party decide how to stabilize future state affairs and his term of office. After making a public speech on Thursday, Yin Xiyue approved the 42 agendas adopted at this week's cabinet meeting. This shows that Yin Xiyue may exercise the presidential power immediately after he hinted in his speech that he had no intention of stepping down.